Greenville Leader

U.S. Rep. William Timmons (R-Greenville) did not respond to a query about whether the Biden administration’s Build Back Better Act should pass the Senate in spite of its expected addition of $3 trillion to the national debt.

The Greenville Leader sought the lawmaker’s view on the need to pass the bill, given Americans’ rising concerns about inflation and new social spending.

According to U.S. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) said last weekend that he could not support the Build Back Better bill in its current form, given its possible effects on inflation. The apparent failure of the bill to attract enough Democratic votes to pass the Senate also led Goldman Sachs to reduce its projections for U.S. economic growth in the coming year.

A recent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report found that the national debt would rise by $3 trillion in the likely event that Build Back Better social spending programs are extended beyond the short initial time periods.

Such projections come as economic data shows that the U.S. inflation rate in December reflected a 39-year high, according to Fox Business News. 

"Inflation at a nearly 40-year high is not something the Federal Reserve can ignore,” Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Dallas Fed adviser, told Fox News. “While gas prices are starting to decline, there is still plenty of food inflation. There is risk now that inflation has become entrenched in households’ psyches, which further pressures policymakers at the Fed to be more aggressive in their tightening stance."

The U.S. Producer Price Index jumped 9.6% in November, compared to the same time in 2020, according to CNBC. Prices rose 0.7% during the month of November alone when food, energy and trade services costs are factored out -- the largest gain on record.

Such price reports seem to be spooking consumers. A recent Morning Consult survey concluded that six out of 10 voters are “very concerned” about inflation, while 27% are “somewhat concerned." Concerned voters included large majorities of both Republicans and Democrats, the poll found.

An ABC News-Ipsos poll found that more than two-thirds of U.S. residents opposed the way President Joe Biden has dealt with inflation and that Biden’s approval ratings have dropped on the issues of crime and gun violence. Biden has said he expects inflation to decline if the Build Back Better Act passes, even with the expected surge in the national debt.

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has said that the bill would have mixed effects on inflation. Those provisions that add to public spending and demand for goods and services will put upward pressure on inflation, according to the Committee. But some provisions that boost supply or reduce demand, such as offsetting tax increases, will help to reduce inflation. 

Mark Stephenson, director of dairy policy analysis at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said that inflation may reverberate strongly on the nation’s farms.

“I think that one of the things we are going to see, with the kind of wage inflation we have, is that people are going to invest in labor-saving technology, and at the farm level, that means automation,” Stephenson told WQOW News.

Higher inflation will also make it more difficult for Americans to monitor which costs are rising fastest, according to William Hauk, associate professor of economics at the Darla Moore School of Business at the University of South Carolina.

“For consumers, higher prices on essential goods like food and gasoline may become unaffordable for people whose paychecks aren’t rising as much,” Hauk told the Kitsap Sun. “But even when their wages are rising, higher inflation makes it harder for consumers to tell if a particular good is getting more expensive relative to other goods, or just in line with the average price increase.”